How to Calculate Your Seed-Stage Startup Valuation (2024)

How do I value my company?

It’s a question we get asked a lot by founders of pre-seed and seed stage startups. Valuation is a critical number to get right, but it’s unclear to most founders how to calculate the value of their own companies. That is understandable. The valuation process is opaque due to lack of objective data and fraught with misconceptions about incentives, dilution, ownership, and unknown market predictions.

How to Calculate Your Seed-Stage Startup Valuation (3)

Here’s a model for how startups should calculate their own valuation so that they have an informed opinion when going into meetings with potential investors.

Start with Your Exit and Work Backwards

First, you need to think about the end goal. Unless you’re in Silicon Valley, it’s statistically unlikely that your SaaS company is going to be a unicorn. A realistic and successful exit will be an acquisition for $100M or less in 5 to 7 years.

The other way to assess this regardless of your geography is top down by determining what the total addressable market is for your company. Not the total possible market if you get 100% customer penetration and everyone adopts your product — rather the market you aim to capture. If it’s not clear how this is going to be a billion dollar plus company, you should price based on a conservative estimate — likely that sub $100M number.

This is the exit investors will expect, and they’ll be doing the same math as you are when setting valuations on their end.

Understand the Multipliers

All my advice rests on two commonly accepted multipliers.

The first is that investors want at least a 3x return. For every dollar invested, the minimum acceptable return at the next milestone is three dollars. Obviously, every investor hopes for a much larger payoff, but this is an expectation that is both ambitious and based on your plan should be achievable. We know that kind of return is life-changing for an entrepreneur. This number is important because it means for every round you raise, investors will expect the valuation to go up by at least three times the previous round.

The second multiplier is that the post-money valuation of a SaaS company should be roughly between 5 and 15 times the current ARR, annual recurring revenue, depending on your market and growth. Since we generally use ARR as the number one measurement of a company’s success, this is an easy way to ballpark valuation. Five to fifteen is a big range, but it’s a good place to start.

Base Your Goal for 18–24 Months on your ARR

Now, you’re going to dive into the next 18–24 months — the average length of time between raising rounds — and decide what you want to accomplish in that timeline. This could be raising a Series A, hitting product market fit, going from prototype to MVP, securing initial customers, or a number of other metrics. Then, you’ll tie that to your ARR.

Companies will be a strong candidate for raising a Series A when they’ve achieved at least $1M in ARR. So it is logical that if you’re raising a seed round right now, you’ll want to make sure you’re on track to hit $1M ARR in the next two years.

When you’re taking investment dollars, you have to work backwards from a future goal to set the present valuation. It’s sort of counter intuitive, but it makes sense when you remember the whole point of investments is to bet on a future outcome.

Do the Math

So, you’ve got your 18 to 24 month goal and you’ve got the relevant multipliers. Now you can put it all together to come up with your present valuation. Start with your target ARR for your next raise, multiply that by 5 to 15 for your target valuation for that raise, divide that number by 3 and voila — you’ve got your target post-money valuation for this round.

For example, if your company is currently pre-revenue and you hope to raise a Series A in 18–24 months, you’ll need to achieve at least $1M ARR by then, which would make your target Series A valuation between $5M and $15M. Then, you’ll divide by three to get your valuation for this round. That sets you up for a seed round with a post-money valuation of up to $5 million. You’re well positioned to raise $1 million on a $3M, $4M, or $5M post-money valuation, giving your investors between 20% and 33% ownership.

If you’re earlier and only raising a pre-seed round, you can do another round of dividing. Take your target seed valuation — say, $3M — and again divide that by 3 to get a pre-seed post-money valuation of $1M.

Plan for the Best, Prepare for the Worst

Besides changing the world with disruptive technology, a major motivator is the creation of wealth. For some, wealth means $1M and for others it means $1B. Regardless of your definition, by setting your initial pre-seed or seed-stage valuation too high, you are limiting the potential scenarios to create personal wealth on the lower quartile of that range.

Investors have investment mandates and expectations around outcomes. If you raise your first $1–2M round at a $10M post-money valuation, assuming no more dilution, the investor won’t be excited unless the company exits for at least $100M — 10 times the initial valuation — and would be disappointed if the company exits for less than $30M.

If you knock it out of the park and grow rapidly over the 18–24 months post-investment and hit your metrics, then all is well. The investor gets a markup or real return and everyone is happy.

But, this rosy scenario is most likely not what will happen. Plan for the best, prepare for the worst. Set ambitious goals and give yourself room, resources, and time to hit them.

— — —

Welcome to the Squadra Blog. We’ll be sharing advice, stories, and how we make hard decisions as we work with our portfolio companies to build extraordinary teams and companies.

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How to Calculate Your Seed-Stage Startup Valuation (2024)

FAQs

How do I calculate my seed stage startup valuation? ›

Some Methods to Calculate the Valuation of a Startup for Seed Investment
  1. Comparable Company Analysis. This method involves comparing the startup to similar companies in the same industry. ...
  2. Pre-Money Valuation. ...
  3. Post-Money Valuation. ...
  4. The Scorecard Method. ...
  5. The Cost to Reproduce Method. ...
  6. The Venture Capital Method.
Mar 8, 2023

How do you calculate seed valuation? ›

The Components of a Seed Funding Valuation

Pre-money valuation is the value of the company before the investment is made. This is calculated by taking the total value of the company and subtracting the value of the shares that will be sold to the investor.

What is the formula to calculate valuation of a startup? ›

In calculating valuation, investors will start by finding similar companies and calculate their valuation to revenue ratio, known as the multiple. They will determine this figure by finding out how many times the valuation is bigger than revenue. Investors will multiply your company's revenue by that multiple.

What is the average startup valuation at seed round? ›

Seed rounds are typically between $2–$5 million with a post-money valuation between $20–$30 million. Though some seed funding is done on Simple Agreement for Future Equity (SAFEs) and convertible notes, the seed round is often the first round of equity financing.

What is the average seed valuation in 2023? ›

By the numbers: Median pre-money valuations for seed-stage rounds in Q1 jumped to $12.9 million — up 16.9% from the previous quarter and 28.6% year-over-year, per PitchBook.

What is the average seed round valuation in 2023? ›

Seed funding starts to slip

After peaking in 2022 at $2.5 million, the median U.S. seed round dipped to $2.3 million in Q1 2023. The average dipped slightly from $3.7 million to $3.6 million. Of course, that's still far above where those deal sizes were less than a decade ago.

What is the rule of thumb for startup valuation? ›

The general rule of thumb for angel/seed stage rounds is that founders should expect to sell between 10% and 20% of the equity in the company. These parameters weren't plucked out of thin air. They're based on what an early equity investor is looking for in terms of return.

What is a good pre seed valuation? ›

The average pre-seed startup valuation can fall between $500k-5m and the average pre-seed round between $100k-1m — but the total raised can vary hugely depending on how developed your proof of concept is, who exactly the investors are and what sector you're in.

How much equity do you give in seed round? ›

How Much Equity Should be Given Away in a Seed Round? A general rule of thumb is giving away between 10-20% equity during a seed round. This may likely be to angel investors who are willing to put in checks right at the origin of a company during the early stages.

What is an example of startup valuation? ›

For example, if the pre-money valuation of a startup is $1m and the investor puts in $250k, the post-money valuation will be $1.25m — and the investor receives 20% of the company (250k / 1.25m). But if $1m is a post-money valuation, then the investor will own 25% of the business.

What is a valuation formula? ›

The valuation formula for a relative value calculation is: Value = (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) / (Interest Expense + Tax Rate) Where: EBIT = earnings before interest and taxes. Interest Expense = the company's interest expense for the last 12 months.

How is a seed stage company valued? ›

The simplest way to value an early stage startup is through comps; but businesses are unique, so accuracy is low. Get additional inputs by working backwards from how much cash you need and the ownership investors will ask for.

How much revenue for seed stage startup? ›

Seed stage funding is the initial surge of capital into the business. At this point, a startup is largely an idea and will have little to no revenue. This stage is generally when a product and go-to-market strategy are being built and developed.

How much funding is typical for seed stage? ›

Seed stage funding is typically provided by angel investors, venture capital firms, or crowdfunding platforms. The funding amount in seed stage can range from a few hundred thousand to a few million dollars, depending on the startup's valuation and funding requirements.

What percentage do seed investors take? ›

Founders start with 100 percent ownership. Seed rounds – the earliest stage of funding, usually from family and angel investors – typically dilute founders' ownership by an average of 15%.

How much money do you need to be a seed investor? ›

Typically, these investors put $25,000 to $50,000 into each company. In less common cases, the range can go as low as $10,000 and high as $100,000. For a full portfolio of as many as 20 companies, an angel investor must be comfortable with investing from $200,000 to $500,000.

How much should I ask for in a seed round? ›

The average amount of funding raised in a seed round is $2.2 million, but it can be as low as $100,000 or as high as $5 million. The exact amount of funding to raise is up to you as the founder.

How many seed round companies fail? ›

60% of startups fail between pre-seed and Series A funding stages.

How many investors in a seed round? ›

The term “seed round” refers to investments in which no more than 15 investors provide early funds to start a new company.

What is the 90 10 rule for startups? ›

In fact, the 90/10 Rule tells us that during small business startups, 90% of your time should be spent on direct marketing activities and only 10% on building technical skills. The type of small business startup activities to spend 90% of your time on include: Prospecting. Lead generation.

What is the 40 percent rule for startups? ›

The Rule of 40 is a principle that states a software company's combined revenue growth rate and profit margin should equal or exceed 40%. SaaS companies above 40% are generating profit at a rate that's sustainable, whereas companies below 40% may face cash flow or liquidity issues.

How much is a business worth with $1 million in sales? ›

The exact value of a business with $1 million in sales would depend on the profitability of the business and its assets. Generally, a business is worth anywhere from one to five times its annual sales. So, in this case, the business would be worth between $1 million and $5 million.

How much equity should I ask for pre seed? ›

Investors in the pre-seed round are typically friends and family or business angels, with investments ranging from $50,000 – $200,000 for a 5% – 10% equity stake. They provide you with enough runway to develop your MVP.

How much equity do seed stage employees get? ›

“And then you have what's called 'the employee pool' and that will be a number of shares that are basically reserved for employees.” Reuben says that it's typical for employee stock option pools to account for 10 to 15% of the company's overall available equity — though in some cases it can be as high as 20%.

How much equity should founders have at Series A? ›

Because → Series A investors will typically expect 50% owned by active founders and employees. Why? You get the drill.

What are the 3 methods of valuation? ›

Three main types of valuation methods are commonly used for establishing the economic value of businesses: market, cost, and income; each method has advantages and drawbacks.

What is an example of valuation calculation? ›

It is calculated by multiplying the company's share price by its total number of shares outstanding. For example, as of January 3, 2018, Microsoft Inc. traded at $86.35.2 With a total number of shares outstanding of 7.715 billion, the company could then be valued at $86.35 x 7.715 billion = $666.19 billion.

What is the 20 rule of valuation? ›

20% of the proceeds after first deducting any qualifying expenditure incurred after the valuation date.

What are 3 ways to value a startup? ›

Here are 10 common startup valuation methods you can use to calculate potential earnings:
  • Berkus method. ...
  • Book value method. ...
  • Comparable transactions method. ...
  • Cost-to-duplicate approach. ...
  • Discounted cash flow method. ...
  • First Chicago method. ...
  • Future valuation multiple method. ...
  • Risk factor method.
Feb 3, 2023

How do investors evaluate early stage startups? ›

The majority of the time, startup businesses evaluate their growth based on the revenue they foresee generating in the future. Using the forecasted cash flow, the investors calculate the margin and estimate the worth of the cash flow.

What is a startup valuation sheet? ›

Otherwise known as the 'net book value', this startup valuation model simply indicates the carrying value of company assets on its balance sheet. While this method is not the most accurate valuation method for your company, it is quick and easy to calculate and give you a ballpark estimate of the value of your company.

What are the 4 valuation methods? ›

The market approach to business valuation is categorized into four distinct methods- Market price Method, Comparable Companies Method, Comparable Transaction Method, and EV to Revenue Multiples Method.

What are the five methods of valuation? ›

This course examines in detail the five key property valuation methods: comparison, investment, residual, profits, and cost-based.

What are the five steps to valuation? ›

Business Valuation Methods: Five Steps to Establish Your Business Worth
  1. Planning and Preparation. ...
  2. Adjusting the financial statements. ...
  3. Choosing the Business Valuation Approach. ...
  4. Applying the Selected Valuation Method. ...
  5. Reaching the Business Value Conclusion.
Dec 9, 2020

What is the seed valuation cap? ›

The valuation cap is a way to reward seed stage investors for taking on additional risk. The valuation cap sets the maximum price that your convertible security will convert into equity. To translate that into a share price, you divide the valuation cap by the series A valuation.

What are the methods of pre seed valuation? ›

There are two leading qualitative valuation methods for pre-seed investments: the Berkus Method and the Payne Scorecard Method. These methods use a similar technique to break down the business into 5 to 7 areas and subjectively grade each company area.

What percent of seed companies make it to Series A? ›

In fact, less than 10% of companies that raise a seed round are successful in then raising a Series A investment. A Series A investment provides venture capitalists, in exchange for capital, the first series of preferred stock after the common stock issued during the seed round.

How many startups fail at seed-stage? ›

This means that up to 70% of startups fail on the pre-seed stage and 50% of startups fail on every stage until they reach the series D stage.” Once pre-seed funding, it's time to raise investments in round A.

What are typical returns for seed funds? ›

The TLDR; seed investors shoot for a 100x return; Series A investors need an investment to return 10x to 15x and later stage investors aim for 3x to 5x multiple of money. This translates into portfolio returns from 20% to 35% targeted IRRs.

What is a deck for seed funding? ›

The purpose of a pre-seed pitch deck is simple: to convince potential investors to take meetings with you. It's one of the primary tools founders use to convince investors of their company's value, and it lets them structure their company narrative in a way that's more likely to capture VC attention.

What is a small amount of seed money? ›

Seed money is usually used to fund a business during its launch phase when it's small but full of promise (just like a seed). This form of early-stage financing helps startups grow faster and overcome barriers more efficiently, paving the way for future financing from venture capitalists or an IPO.

What is the average seed stage valuation? ›

All things being equal, though, a typical seed round valuation for a pre-revenue startup is between $5 million and $10 million. For a revenue-generating startup, the typical valuation range is between $10 million and $20 million.

How much equity is given at seed stage? ›

How Much Equity Should be Given Away in a Seed Round? A general rule of thumb is giving away between 10-20% equity during a seed round. This may likely be to angel investors who are willing to put in checks right at the origin of a company during the early stages.

What is a good pre-seed valuation? ›

The average pre-seed startup valuation can fall between $500k-5m and the average pre-seed round between $100k-1m — but the total raised can vary hugely depending on how developed your proof of concept is, who exactly the investors are and what sector you're in.

What is the startup valuation in 2023? ›

The percentage of startups raising at a higher valuation than their previous round — an upround — dropped in Q1 2023, to 71%. The dreaded downround — where a company raises at less than its previous valuation — and flat rounds increased, up to 18% and 9% respectively.

What percentage of seed stage companies fail? ›

60% of startups fail between pre-seed and Series A funding stages. There are three note-worthy stages for startups: pre-seed, Series A, and maturity.

How much revenue should you have for a seed round? ›

Investor community StartEngine recommends that companies aim to raise their seed round "when they have less than $3 million annual recurring revenue (ARR).” The average amount of funding raised in a seed round is $2.2 million, but it can be as low as $100,000 or as high as $5 million.

Is 1% equity in a startup good? ›

Up to this point, generally speaking, with teams of less than 12 people, the average granted equity for startup employees is 1%. This number can be as high as 2% for the first hires, and in some circ*mstances, the first hire(s) can be considered founders and their equity share could be even greater.

How much equity should I ask for seed? ›

Typically, 10–20% of equity is advised by financial experts as the percentage of the equity to give up during a seed round. Anything above 30% may be too much.

How much equity should founders have after seed? ›

The short answer to "how much equity should a founder keep" is founders should keep at least 50% equity in a startup for as long as possible, while investors get between 20 and 30%. There should also be a 10 to 20% portion set aside for employee stock options and, in some cases, about 5% left in a reserve pool.

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