Where, how much, and how? The three essential questions of resource allocation (2024)

I recently listened to a CEO client lament his company’s low growth and the difficulty in shifting resources from a mature business to new fast-growing ones. The challenge he faced is all too common: unit presidents protective of legacy businesses, strenuously arguing that reducing resources would endanger the company’s biggest cash cows. Would the returns from investing in the new businesses justify this risk? And how much is really needed to get those businesses onto the growth fast track?

These are essential questions when trying to ensure that the organisation’s money is working as hard as it possibly can. As I pointed out in mylast post, the problem with resource allocation isn’t ignorance of its importance—83 percent of executives we polled named it as the most critical management lever for spurring growth. The challenge lies in determiningwherethe resources will bring the most value,how much money and talent to redistribute, andhowto put those shifts effectively into action.

Where, how much, and how? The three essential questions of resource allocation (1)

Those overarching questions represent the three major phases of the reallocation process. Only by answering them with empirical rigor will you be able to get your team on board and embed the process into the organization.

1. Where to re-allocate resources

The first step is to create an analytical foundation on which you can build a strong case for resource shifts. This is essential to overcome resistance from losing parties and counter individual biases rooted in self-interest or mistaken assumptions. To identify and prioritize areas where boosting investment would generate the greatest impact for the whole organization, start by assessing the profitability and resource projections for every meaningful business cell.

Managers tend to easily identify the opportunities with the biggest growth upside, but as I explained in an earlier post, growth doesn’t guarantee value creation. To have a comprehensive view, you need to understand projected economic profit (the difference between ROIC and the company’s weighted average cost of capital) for each business cell or, in some cases, build a full investment plan and calculate the net present value (NPV) of future cash flows. Then compare that to the resources needed to deliver the projected ROI.

This analysis will indicate that some cells with high projected ROI are obvious candidates for acceleration. Others may be actually destroying value, suggesting it’s time to reduce their resource share or even exit the business entirely. In between are businesses with positive but modest economic profit. A large organization may not need to closely analyze every one of these mid-range performers but it should at least look at ones that absorb a lot of resources. Are there better ways to optimize their return on investment?

Where, how much, and how? The three essential questions of resource allocation (2)

Now managers will realize this process will influence their budgets, so they will be tempted to inflate their projections or forecast stabilization after a period of decline. Accordingly, any discussions of their proposed strategic plans should start with the question: Why do you believe this improvement will happen?

The best way we overcome the “hockey stick” pitfall (see this classic example) is to create a baseline scenario based on objective data, looking at a business’s performance track record and carrying that forward for several years to develop a “momentum” case. Factoring in management assumptions (where valid) and additional market and competitive insights can further refine the scenario – which often ends up looking very different than the manager’s initial view.

2. How much resources to re-allocate

Determining the right magnitude of action is often harder than identifying the targets for it. The relationship between investment and return is not linear, as capturing some opportunities requires a major investment (in new IT systems, for example, or establishing a direct sales force). Conversely, if you want to lower your capital investment, you may still be stuck with some “maintenance” costs.

Managers want to know the return on the marginal dollar but this non-linearity makes that impossible. In my experience, a pragmatic alternative is to approach resource shifts differently depending on whether they are candidates for increase or decrease.

For under-resourced cells, ask yourself: Is there additional market upside we’re not capturing? It may be that ROI is high because you have a strong leadership position and to grow more you would have to increase the overall market demand – which may be possible in some areas but not in others. If there is upside, how much money and talent would you need to apply to tap it? Is the business case still attractive when you’ve factored in all the risks, such as a change in competitive dynamics or regulations? Would it be better to boost resources dramatically to drive a higher level of return or to be incremental? In some cases, gradual increases may suffice while other opportunities require big bets to gain meaningful market share.

For over-resourced cells, start by analyzing what’s behind the low performance – is it an industry-wide issue or your company’s problem? If your business is performing a lot worse than its peers, you need to understand what is holding it back. In rare cases, you may discover that the issue can be addressed by injecting more resources, with potentially high rewards. More often, it’s a market problem or the company is facing a structural competitive disadvantage. If so, it’s time to ask whether lower investment levels would bring the unit to an acceptable ROI – and if not, consider divestiture.

3. How to execute resource reallocation

The fundamental goal of resource reallocation is to embed agility in the organization so it can move as opportunities shift. Many companies, however, face internal barriers, ranging from business leaders seeking to protect their turf to resources being embedded in ways that makes them hard to free up. For example, if you need to shift R&D investment, the existing people may not be the right fit or the facility may require an expensive relocation.

Here some steps you can take to overcome internal resistance and fear of change.

·Clearly communicate to your team that dynamic reallocation is a priority and that decisions are final unless there is a material external change.

·Create a common language around resource reallocation that integrates it into the culture of “how we do things” and stresses its importance in realizing growth aspirations.

·Establish clear accountability between corporate-center and business-unit levels, and determine which resource decisions need whose approval, what gets monitored and reported, and what escalation mechanism will be used in case of delays.

·Regularly review the assumptions behind allocation decisions to make sure they still hold, both around new investment requests and previously allotted resources yet to be deployed. If managers are protesting decisions on resource allocation, is there a reason to update the assumptions?

·Consider organizational changes to improve resource flexibility, such as creating shared resource pools or enabling talent to be more easily redeployed.

·Embed dynamic resource reallocation into the planning process and management incentives. You want to make it necessary and beneficial for management to continuously seek ways to apply resources for the benefit of the overall company rather than their own fiefdoms. For example, ask every business cell to start next year’s budget with 10% less in operating expenses; the combined amount becomes a central investment pool for which the cells compete.

I’m interested in hearing about your experience in making resource shifts.

Which part of the resource allocation process is most problematic for you? Do you run annual strategic sessions to create a shared foundation of facts that will guide resource allocation decisions?

I co-lead McKinsey & Company’sGrowth and Innovation practice, where I focus on growth, innovation, consumer insights and commercial excellence. Please connect with me and the practice here on LinkedIn.

As a seasoned expert in the field of resource allocation, with a background in leading McKinsey & Company's Growth and Innovation practice, I bring a wealth of experience and knowledge to the table. My expertise lies in guiding organizations through the intricacies of reallocating resources to drive growth, overcome internal barriers, and optimize returns on investment. I have successfully navigated the challenges faced by executives in balancing the needs of mature businesses with the imperative to invest in new, fast-growing opportunities.

Now, let's delve into the key concepts outlined in the article:

  1. Importance of Resource Allocation: The article emphasizes the critical role of resource allocation in spurring growth, citing a survey where 83 percent of executives identified it as the most crucial management lever. The central challenge is not the lack of awareness about its significance but rather the difficulty in determining where to allocate resources for maximum value.

  2. Three Major Phases of Reallocation Process: The article outlines the three major phases of the resource reallocation process: where to re-allocate resources, how much to re-allocate, and how to execute the reallocation. These phases represent a structured approach to address the challenges associated with shifting resources within an organization.

  3. Where to Re-allocate Resources: The first phase involves creating an analytical foundation to support resource shifts. The focus is on assessing the profitability and resource projections of various business cells. The article stresses the need to go beyond identifying high-growth opportunities and instead evaluate economic profit, considering the difference between Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) and the company's weighted average cost of capital. This analysis helps identify areas for acceleration, potential value destruction, and opportunities for optimizing returns on investment.

  4. Avoiding the "Hockey Stick" Pitfall: The article warns against the tendency of managers to inflate projections or forecast stabilization after a decline, referred to as the "hockey stick" pitfall. It advocates creating a baseline scenario based on objective data to overcome this pitfall and make more realistic projections.

  5. How Much Resources to Re-allocate: Determining the right magnitude of action is highlighted as a challenging aspect. The non-linear relationship between investment and return is discussed, emphasizing the need for a pragmatic approach based on the nature of resource shifts. Different strategies are suggested for under-resourced and over-resourced cells, considering factors like market upside and performance relative to peers.

  6. How to Execute Resource Reallocation: The article underscores the goal of embedding agility in the organization for dynamic resource reallocation. It identifies internal barriers and provides steps to overcome resistance, such as clear communication, creating a common language, establishing accountability, and incorporating flexibility into the planning process and management incentives.

  7. Continuous Review and Adaptation: The importance of regularly reviewing assumptions behind allocation decisions and considering organizational changes to enhance resource flexibility is highlighted. The article encourages a continuous process where managers actively seek ways to apply resources for the overall benefit of the company.

In conclusion, the article offers a comprehensive guide to effective resource allocation, drawing on empirical rigor and practical strategies to navigate the complexities faced by organizations seeking to balance legacy businesses with new growth opportunities.

Where, how much, and how? The three essential questions of resource allocation (2024)
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