Safaricom share value depends on Ethiopia (2024)

The Safaricom share price dropped to Sh14.80 this week after it announced profits of Sh42 billion compared to Sh68 billion last year. In mid-2021, the Safaricom share price was almost Sh45.

The government-backed Hustler Fund competes with Safaricom's very profitable Fuliza lending app but it has only dropped 9 percent in revenue. The shift from voice to data hasdented profitability.

Yet Safaricom remains a very profitable company that has bet heavily on an investment in Ethiopia where it has just got a licence to operate M-Pesa.

It is heavy investment in Ethiopia that has depressed Safaricom profits. So is that a good investment or not?

Ethiopia is a country of 120 million people without a telecom company of Safaricom's quality and efficiency. Potentially Ethiopia can be hugely profitable for Safaricom.

But there are two risk factors. The first is war – Ethiopia is riven by regional rivalries at the moment. Secondly, Ethiopia is very statist – will they allow a private company to establish a quasi-monopoly as Safaricom presently has with mobile money in Kenya?

So, depending on your analysis of Ethiopian geo-politics, Safaricom shares may be a great buy at the present price, or not.

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The English novelist was born on May 13, 1907

Safaricom share value depends on Ethiopia (2024)

FAQs

Is buying Safaricom shares a good investment? ›

Safaricom Plc is routinely listed among the most profitable firms in the East and Central Africa area, and for good reason: it is the largest provider of telecommunications services in Kenya.

What is the shareholding of Safaricom Ethiopia? ›

Our shareholding and company structure in Ethiopia

Vodafamily Ethiopia Holding: 61.9% (Safaricom PLC 55.71%, Vodacom Group 6.19%) Sumitomo Corporation 27.2% CDC Group PLC 10.9%

How much are Safaricom shares worth? ›

The current share price of Safaricom Plc (SCOM) is KES 16.00. SCOM closed its last trading day (Friday, April 19, 2024) at 16.00 KES per share on the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), recording a 2.1% drop from its previous closing price of 16.35 KES.

How much did Safaricom invest in Ethiopia? ›

Safaricom spent nearly $400 million (55.6 billion Kenyan shillings) capitalizing the new Ethiopia venture, in the financial year ended March 2023. It plans to spend another $300 million in the current financial year which ends in March 2024. Safaricom Ethiopia did not immediately respond to queries from Semafor Africa.

Is buying Safaricom shares profitable? ›

In the last three years, Safaricom has been paying shareholders dividends worth between Ksh48 billion and 55 billion on average. In the previous year, 2023, each received a dividend per share of Ksh1. 20/share.

Will Safaricom shares go up? ›

Future Growth

Safaricom's earnings are forecast to decline at 6.4% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 9.6% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 12% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.5% in 3 years.

Who is the largest shareholder of Safaricom? ›

VODAFONE GROUP PLC

Who owns the largest shares in Safaricom? ›

Our shareholding structure changed during the year and is currently comprised of the Government of Kenya (35 per cent), Vodacom (35 per cent), Vodafone (5 per cent) and free float (25 per cent). * Company holds an indirect interest in Safaricom through a wholly-owned subsidiary, Vodafone Kenya Ltd (VKL).

What is the purpose of Safaricom in Ethiopia? ›

We are a purpose-led technology and communication company committed to contributing to Ethiopia's digital transformation and inclusion objectives.

Is Safaricom undervalued? ›

The company valuation of Safaricom PLC according to these metrics is way below the market valuation of its peer group. The P/Earnings NTM ratio of Safaricom PLC is significantly lower than the average of its sector (Mobile Telecommunications): 13.75.

How many Safaricom shares can I buy? ›

A member can buy as many shares as they can afford as long as they are available on the market. 5. Can a member offload their shares to another existing member? Yes this arrangement is allowed.

Which is the best company to buy shares in Kenya? ›

Kenyan stocks with the best yearly performance
SymbolPerf % 1YPrice
KAPC D+76.67%212.00 KES
BAMB D+68.16%47.00 KES
WTK D+35.88%231.00 KES
CARB D+30.00%16.90 KES
29 more rows

How much money does Safaricom make in Ethiopia? ›

Safaricom Ethiopia makes $43,368 in M-PESA revenue three months after launch. Safaricom Ethiopia has made KES 7.2 million ($43,368) in M-PESA revenue three months after it launched in August 2023.

Who is the new CEO of Safaricom Ethiopia? ›

Wim Vanhelleputte is the CEO of Safaricom Telecommunications Ethiopia PLC, a purpose-led technology and communication company committed to contributing to Ethiopia's digital transformation and inclusion objectives.

How much money Ethiopia has? ›

In 2023 Ethiopia has reached an estimated GDP scale of 156.1 billion dollars nominal, for PPP the country's economy has reached an estimated 393.85 billion dollars. This mostly comes from a services-based economy with agriculture.

How much can I earn from Safaricom shares? ›

Safaricom Plc (SCOM)
DIVIDENDSAnnouncedAmount
Interim Dividend2023-02-28KES 0.58
Final Dividend2022-05-12KES 0.75
Interim Dividend2022-02-25KES 0.64
Final Dividend2021-05-13KES 0.92
17 more rows

How much dividend does Safaricom pay per share? ›

Safaricom has announced a Sh0. 55 interim dividend per share amounting to Sh23. 03 billion, marking the second consecutive year the telco is cutting the payout to investors. The telco said Thursday the board had approved the payout related to the financial year ending March 2024 in a meeting held a day earlier.

Which is the best stock to buy in Kenya? ›

Kenyan stocks with the best yearly performance
SymbolPerf % 1YPrice
KAPC D+76.67%212.00 KES
BAMB D+68.16%47.00 KES
WTK D+35.88%231.00 KES
CARB D+30.00%16.90 KES
29 more rows

What is the future of Safaricom? ›

Safaricom of the future will be a technology company and will offer more in the education, agriculture, and health sectors as it grows. The next phase of Safaricom's growth will see the service provider continue its innovation tradition and simplify its products and services in line with its FOR YOU brand promise.

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