Could The Price of Silver Ever Reach $1,000 Per Ounce? – APMEX (2024)

Silver has generally been viewed as a more affordable Precious Metal to invest in than the more expensive Gold. With silver, an individual can get a lot of silver for their dollar and still get physical silver rather than certificates or silver proxies such as stocks and indexes. However, silver is not nearly as valuable as it used to be. The price of silver has been dropping since April of 2011 when it was over $49 per ounce.

However, in 2016 a debate was sparked after an interview with Keith Neumeyer, the founder, president and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp, was published. He voiced the opinion that he could see the price of Silver rise to $1,000 per ounce if the Gold spot price ever rose to $10,000 per ounce. This was met with much skepticism and since then that has clearly not been the case, but this article will break down his claim and its likelihood.

Neumeyer’s Argument

Another essential point that Neumeyer emphasizes is the difference in production and pricing between Gold and Silver. At the moment, the Silver output is about 9 times that of Gold. As a result, he thinks that Silver should currently be trading at around $130 per ounce, or approximately 1/9 the price of Gold.

According to Neumeyer, we are only mining nine ounces of Silver per every one ounce of Gold. So that would suggest we should be trading at nine to one, which will put Gold at $1,200 and Silver at $130, $140.

He thought that with the rate those Precious Metals are mined in 2016, that’s where Silver should be trading at. In that year Silver and Gold were trading at 73 or 75 to one, so this is unlikely to happen. At the end of 2021, the Gold to Silver ratio is more around 80 to one, making this even more improbable.

Neumeyer’s argument in part is based on the Silver price in 2007/2008 when Silver was around $20.50 per ounce. He believes Silver should have risen to about $140 to compensate for inflation, whereas if you take out inflation numbers it should be around $89. We are not at that number or at Neumeyer’s Silver to Gold ratio, and Silver at the moment is trading around $23 per ounce. Neumeyer thinks Silver should be bumped up by 50% because of the Silver price in 2007/2008 which was $45.

Why This Claim is Unlikely to Occur

The price of Silver is currently about $16 per ounce. At its peak, Silver was at around $50 per ounce, so it would have to rise more than 300% in order for it to reach the $1,000 mark.

While this could happen, it is not likely. The reason for this is that Silver is used more industrially than Gold. Silver is a component in many products, from batteries to solar panels, so it is not as scarce as Gold. In times of economic strife, investors tend to flock to Gold because it is seen as a safe investment.

Silver is not seen in the same way and its price does not react as dramatically to events as the price of Gold does.

The Silver spot price only has a one percent correlation to the price movement of Silver as opposed to a Silver future, which is typically used as a proxy for Silver prices because Silver futures have a strong negative correlation to Silver prices. This means that while Silver can increase in value if economic turmoil occurs, it probably will not reach the $1,000 mark.

In short, it is highly unlikely that the price of Silver will reach $1,000 per ounce. Keith Neumeyer’s argument is based on sound reasoning but does not take into account all the factors that would need to be in place for this to happen. Silver is used more industrially than Gold and its price does not react the same way to economic events. While Silver’s price can react dramatically to changes in the economy, it is unlikely that Silver will reach $1,000 per ounce.

How Silver Typically Performs

The Silver spot price is generally pretty stable, with Silver prices fluctuating between $14 and $19 per ounce. Over the past few years, Silver has seen an increase in price, but Silver prices have not increased much compared to other metals. Silver usually performs well when stock markets are performing poorly, but this is because Silver is still considered a safe haven investment. Silver can be used as an inflation hedge and can also be a good investment during times of economic uncertainty.

In short, Silver is not as volatile as Gold, but it still tends to perform well when the stock market is performing poorly. It is unlikely that Silver will reach $1,000 per ounce, but it is possible that Silver could reach prices of $800 or $900 per ounce. Silver is a good investment option for those who want a metal that is not as volatile as Gold, and it can provide stability during times of economic uncertainty.

It is always important to study market trends to determine how Silver has been doing and to get a better idea of where it could go before investing in Silver. We might expect Silver prices to go up as the economy declines, but Silver is more likely to react than other metals because it is used in so many different industries, making supply and demand an important factor to consider. If the Silver spot price was to rise above $1,000 per ounce this would be due to an increase in investments rather than its Silver uses.

The Silver price per ounce can fluctuate based on geopolitical events around the world. A notable and recent example was and is the Covid-19 pandemic. When the pandemic first became well-known in February and March of 2020, the price of Silver plummeted from $18 per ounce at the start of the year to under $12 per ounce in March as investors started selling off their Silver.

The price of Silver rose as the year went on but faced some dips during political tensions in the United States in the fall. Therefore, it is essential to pay attention to news headlines as well as the Silver price chart when considering investing in this Precious Metal.

Key Takeaways

That said, silver is still a valuable investment and it is not wise to dismiss Neumeyer’s prediction outright. His company, First Majestic Silver Corp, is one of the top Silver producers in the world and he has a lot of experience in the industry. However, Silver prices today are nowhere near the Silver to Gold ratio he included in his argument.

Even if silver cannot reach the $1,000 mark, there are still reasons to buy Silver today. Because Silver is more affordable than Gold, Silver is a good choice for investors who do not have the capital to invest in Gold or cannot find an investment opportunity with enough supply. It might not be Silver’s time to reach $1,000 just yet, but it is still a valuable Precious Metal worth investing in.

Track the Silver Spot price with the APMEX App. Whether you’re using an Apple or Android device, you can stay up to date with the latest Precious Metals pricing.

Could The Price of Silver Ever Reach $1,000 Per Ounce? – APMEX (2024)

FAQs

Could The Price of Silver Ever Reach $1,000 Per Ounce? – APMEX? ›

Why $1000 per Ounce Silver is Unlikely to Occur. The price of Silver is currently about $25 per ounce. At its peak, Silver was at around $50 per ounce, so it would have to rise more than 200% in order for it to reach the $50 mark. It would need to increase 40x to reach $1,000 an ounce from today's numbers.

How high could silver prices go? ›

Silver prices could touch a 9-year high in 2023 — with a bigger upside than gold. Silver could hit a nine-year high of $30 per ounce this year and become a better performer than gold.

How much will silver cost in 10 years? ›

We can rely on these data to suggest that in ten years, Silver can grow to a minimum of $150 an ounce from the current price of $20.75 an ounce. On the upside, it could reach up to $750 an ounce if the conditions are right. These are all highly realistic in the long term.

How much will silver go up if the dollar collapses? ›

The value of silver isn't directly linked to the dollar. Therefore, its value wouldn't likely decrease if the dollar crashes.

Can silver hit $1,000? ›

While this could happen, it is not likely. The reason for this is that Silver is used more industrially than Gold. Silver is a component in many products, from batteries to solar panels, so it is not as scarce as Gold.

Is silver about to skyrocket? ›

Silver Demand

Having hit record highs in 2021 and 2022, silver industrial offtake is expected strengthen further by 2.6 percent y/y to 550 million ounces (Moz) in 2023. Silver industrial demand should be lifted from further gains in vehicle electrification, and governments' expanding commitment to green infrastructure.

Will silver ever reach $100 an ounce? ›

Silver will reach $100 per ounce the quickest if inflation approaches double digits in 2022 and 2023. The inflation rate is expected to be around 5% in 2021. Since 2008, this has been the most remarkable rate of inflation. Inflation will probably climb, drawing more investors to precious metals as a haven.

How much silver should I own? ›

The affordability of silver makes it possible for anyone to buy small quantities regularly to build a sizeable portfolio over time. As a result, many experts recommend a precious metal portfolio that ideally consists of 75% gold and 25% silver.

Has silver ever reached $50 an ounce? ›

Let's look at silver's recent history. The highest price for silver was just under US$50 in the 1970s, and it came close to that level again in 2011.

Will silver explode in price? ›

Gold and silver prices are expected to rise in 2023, with a weaker U.S. dollar and easing monetary policy likely to push the precious metals higher, according to analysts.

Does Warren Buffett invest in silver? ›

Investopedia contributors come from a range of backgrounds, and over 24 years there have been thousands of expert writers and editors who have contributed. Warren Buffett does not invest in gold. He has invested almost $1 billion in silver, so the reason for his aversion is not simply a dislike for precious metals.

Can silver beat inflation? ›

Over very long periods of time, silver has historically served as an effective hedge against inflation. However, in any given year or decade, silver may not be the best way to protect your portfolio.

What is the highest price of silver ever recorded? ›

Highest Ever Silver Prices in US Dollars, Sterling and Euros

The silver price record high was set on 18th January 1980 at $49.45 (£21.65) per troy ounce fuelled by Nelson Bunker Hunt's cornering of the market.

How much will silver oz be in 2030? ›

Silver price stood at $25.22 per troy ounce

According to the latest long-term forecast, Silver price will hit $30 by the end of 2023 and then $40 by the end of 2024. Silver will rise to $50 within the year of 2025, $60 in 2028, $70 in 2030, $80 in 2031 and $90 in 2033.

What will an ounce of silver be worth in 2030? ›

Based on the bullish forecasts of experts, the silver price prediction 2030 can reach as high as $81 per ounce. According to the latest data, the average price silver stock price will be traded in that year is $76.75. 2030 is the last year in our silver price prediction article, and we believe it is a special year.

Is silver good if the dollar collapses? ›

It's important to remember that gold and silver hold their value under a collapsing currency, so it's best to keep your holdings in precious metals until the need arises.

What will silver price be in 2027? ›

(Kitco News) - Gold is set to hit $5,000 per ounce by 2027, taking silver to $250 per ounce, according to Rob McEwen, Executive Chairman of McEwen Mining.

Is 90% silver a good investment? ›

Older 90 Percent Silver Coins Are Worth at Least Their Face Value. All silver half-dollars, quarters, and dimes made between the 1830s and just prior to 1965 are, at a minimum, 90 percent silver. These coins are often referred to as “junk silver,” but they're hardly junk when it comes to their value.

Should I buy gold or silver 2023? ›

Silver could be a good option if you're considering investing a small amount of money, as it has more upside potential due to its industrial uses. On the other hand, if you plan to invest a larger sum, gold might be a better choice due to its scarcity and potential for higher gains.

Why did silver Skyrocket in 1979? ›

1979-1980. By 1979, investors and other market participants had come to the strong conviction that the silver market was facing a severe shortage of metal, and that prices were likely to rise sharply at some point. The market had been living off of investor selling for seven years.

Is it better to buy gold or silver? ›

Silver can be considered a good portfolio diversifier with moderately weak positive correlation to stocks, bonds and commodities. However, gold is considered a more powerful diversifier.

How much will 1 oz of silver be in 2025? ›

Still, six-month statistics show an ounce of silver is 14% higher than it was on September 6, 2022. According to the forecast on coinpriceforecast.com recorded on March 6, 2023, silver's price will “hit $30 by the middle of 2025 and then $40 by the end of 2026.”

Will silver always hold its value? ›

A store of value: Silver can hold its value and even gain over time, providing a way for investors to generate profits. Liquidity: Silver is generally a liquid market, and if you're buying certain kinds of silver assets, they're highly liquid.

How much silver can you buy without reporting to government? ›

Similarly, for sales of silver bars and rounds to warrant reporting, each silver piece needs to possess a fineness of at least . 999 with a total purchase quantity of 1,000 troy ounces or more.

Should you buy silver bars or coins? ›

Silver coins offer several advantages over investing in silver bars, such as easier selling of smaller quantities at once, higher resale value due to collectible value and rarity factors, and better protection against counterfeiting or fraudulent products.

What does Dave Ramsey say about silver? ›

I'd stop investing in gold and silver completely. I don't put money in precious metals at all, because they have a lousy long-term track record. — Dave Ramsey is CEO of Ramsey Solutions.

Why did silver Skyrocket in 2011? ›

By April 2011, silver had rebounded to reach a 31-year high at $49.21 per ounce on April 29, 2011 due to concerns about monetary inflation and the solvency of governments in the developed world, particularly in the Eurozone.

Will silver ever surpass gold? ›

You see the silver price usually surpasses the gold price in bull runs. Since most analysts expect gold to be higher in 2023, we can reasonably expect silver to outperform it. If not this year, then 2024. Either way it suggests that silver prices are more likely to rise in 2023 than fall.

What year did silver hit an all time high? ›

Historically, Silver reached an all time high of 49.51 in April of 2011. Silver - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on April of 2023.

Will silver go up in the next 5 years? ›

Silver price predictions for next 5 years | experts say

Three months ago, a Reuters poll predicted silver prices would average $23 per ounce in 2023 and $24 in 2024, sharply higher than the $20 for 2023 predicted in the last poll.

Why is silver going down 2023? ›

There are also reasons to believe that silver prices could fall in 2023, including elevated interest rates and global geopolitical unrest. Other factors include: Fed rate hikes continue. Weak jewelry demand due to potential recession.

Is it wise to invest in silver? ›

When it comes to investing your money in different assets, you should consider silver as it offers good returns on investment. When you compare the price of silver with other asset classes, you will notice that is not overvalued yet. Before investing in silver, it makes sense to check the latest silver rate.

Does Bill Gates invest in silver? ›

Gates's personal investing companies, was made public in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission yesterday. Although Mr. Gates's investment in Pan American Silver is a fraction of his net worth, it is nevertheless a significant vote of confidence in the metals markets. News of Mr.

Who owns the most silver today? ›

Peru, China and Poland lead the world with the highest silver reserves, but there are many other top silver countries by reserves to know. Here's a quick look at where other nations stand: Russia — 45,000 MT. Mexico — 37,000 MT.

Is stacking silver a good idea? ›

Why the need to stock pile silver? Silver, along with other precious metals such as gold and platinum, is often bought as a hedge against inflation. Many investors like to stockpile silver as it is a great store of value. In other words, it retains its value over long periods of time.

What is the best metal to invest in inflation? ›

Many investors consider gold to be the ultimate safe-haven hedge against inflation. It's been a store of value for thousands of years, and it has real-world uses in jewelry and electronics, which provides tangible value. And unlike fiat currencies, there is a relatively limited supply of gold.

Why hasn t silver gone up with inflation? ›

Unlike paper currency and stocks, physical precious metals like gold and silver are resistant to inflation because they derive their value differently than paper currency. The value of the dollar is dependent upon the actions of the federal reserve, central banks, global factors, and the general health of the economy.

Will silver go up in stagflation? ›

What About Silver During Stagflation? Many analysts believe silver will perform extremely well when stagflation hits the economy again. One indicator is how the metal performed from the mid 1970s until 1979, increasing to 15 times its value.

When was silver $800 an ounce? ›

And yes, admittedly the record 1980 silver price high of over $800 oz looks nuts. But that is the power of compounding some -5% to -7% inflation lies for about forty years can do nutty things to society.

How much was 1 oz of silver 1 year ago? ›

Stats
Value from Last Month21.92
Value from 1 Year Ago25.31
Change from 1 Year Ago-13.19%
FrequencyMonthly
UnitUSD per Troy Ounce
4 more rows

Who buys the most silver in the world? ›

Among countries around the world, the United States is the top consumer of silver.

How many years into the future is silver? ›

In the Sonic the Hedgehog comic series and its spin-offs published by Archie Comics, Silver's future was occured two-hundred years into the future in the year "3437 P.X.E.", this time in Mobius Prime's timeline.

How high could silver go? ›

Silver prices could touch a 9-year high in 2023 — with a bigger upside than gold. Silver could hit a nine-year high of $30 per ounce this year and become a better performer than gold.

What is the long term future for silver? ›

Silver Long-Term Price Forecast

Most investors agree that the future of silver is bright in the long term. Some, like Avi Gilburt, the expert trader and founder of ElliotWaveTrader, believe that it will double in 2023 before reaching $50 within the next few years.

What is the highest price ever for an ounce of silver? ›

However, on an inflation-adjusted basis, the peak silver price of about $30/oz in 1980 would be equal to over $100 per oz in today's dollars. This is the true all-time high value for silver. Q: Why did silver prices spike in 1980?

What could silver be worth in 2030? ›

According to the latest long-term forecast, Silver price will hit $30 by the end of 2023 and then $40 by the end of 2024. Silver will rise to $50 within the year of 2025, $60 in 2028, $75 in 2030, $80 in 2031, $90 in 2032 and $100 in 2034.

Where will silver be in 5 years? ›

Silver price predictions for next 5 years | experts say

Three months ago, a Reuters poll predicted silver prices would average $23 per ounce in 2023 and $24 in 2024, sharply higher than the $20 for 2023 predicted in the last poll.

What was the price of silver during the Great Depression? ›

Silver Price History (United States)

In our nation's historically brief +240 year history, the price of silver has swung from as low as 25¢ oz amid the Great Depression 1932-1933 to two various high points of some $50 oz in fiat Federal Reserve note valuations.

Is a recession a good time to buy silver? ›

During a recession, industrial production slows down. As a result, the demand for silver decreases. While silver does have a low correlation to stocks, it is thinly traded and volatile. It's certainly not a bad investment, but in the context of precious metals to invest in during a recession, silver loses out to gold.

Is silver a good long term investment? ›

Returns: Over certain periods of time silver has outperformed highly regarded asset classes such as stocks. A store of value: Silver can hold its value and even gain over time, providing a way for investors to generate profits.

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