China’s property crisis deepens as another huge developer risks default | CNN Business (2024)

Hong Kong CNN

Investor confidence in China’s troubled property sector has been rocked again this week by reports that one of the country’s largest private building conglomerates missed interest payments on two bonds.

China’s vast real estate industry was long an important engine of growth in the world’s second biggest economy, accounting for as much as 30% of the country’s GDP.

But many major developers racked up huge debts, typified by the collapse two years ago of Evergrande which was followed by a wave of defaults across the industry.

The latest major industry player to get into trouble is Country Garden, once China’s largest developer.

Shares in the construction giant have plunged 16% in Hong Kong since Tuesday, after reports by Reuters and Chinese media that it missed interest payments on two US dollar-denominated bonds. Several of Country Garden’s yuan-denominated bonds were suspended from trading in Shanghai and Shenzhen on Tuesday after they dropped by more than 20%.

Country Garden did not respond to a request from CNN for comment.

On Tuesday, state-owned media outlet Paper.cn, citing an anonymous company source, reported that Country Garden suffered “temporary liquidity pressure” due to deteriorating sales and a difficult refinancing environment. It was “actively” seeking funds to resolve the debt crunch and would protect the legitimate rights of creditors, the person was quoted as saying.

Although Country Garden still has a 30-day grace period before it can be labeled as a defaulter, the collapse in market confidence shows investors are worried about the company’s future.

Ranked No.1 by sales last year, Country Garden is one of the few major private developers yet to default since a liquidity crisis engulfed China’s property sector more than two years ago.

China’s property crisis deepens as another huge developer risks default | CNN Business (2)

An aerial view of a residential project developed by Country Garden Holdings is seen in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu province on October 31, 2021.

But the company slid to No. 5 by sales in the first half of this year, according to the China Index Academy — a leading Chinese real estate research firm, a sign that even the biggest players in the industry are suffering from the worst slump the country’s property market has seen.

“If Country Garden, the biggest privately owned developer in China goes down, that could trigger a crisis in confidence for the property sector,” said Edward Moya, a senior market analyst for Oanda.

Growing pressure

Country Garden’s stock has lost more than 30% of its value since last week, after it warned of an unaudited net loss for the first six months of the year.

“The company will actively consider taking various countermeasures to ensure the security of cash flow,” it said in an exchange filing on July 31. “Meanwhile, it will actively seek guidance and support from the government and regulatory authorities,” it added.

Unfinished apartment buildings stand at a residential complex developed by Jiadengbao Real Estate in Guilin, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China September 17, 2022. REUTERS/Eduardo Baptista Eduardo Baptista/Reuters/FILE Plunging sales of new homes show China's real estate crisis isn't over

The next day, it was reported to have canceled an attempt to raise $300 million by selling new shares.

On Aug. 3, Moody’s downgraded Country Garden’s credit rating to B1 — meaning it considers its debt to be “high risk.”

“The downgrade reflects our expectation that Country Garden’s credit metrics and liquidity buffer will weaken due to its declining contracted sales, still-constrained funding access and sizable maturing debt over the next 12 to 18 months,” Kaven Tsang, a senior vice president at Moody’s, said in a statement.

Property crisis deepens

China’s property industry has been mired in a historic downturn in the past two years. Households have grown reluctant to purchase new homes, as the now-defunct Covid curbs, falling home prices and rising unemployment discouraged would-be buyers.

A series of major defaults by property giants in 2021 also undermined confidence in the sector and led to many home buyers paying for apartments they never received, sparking rare protests.

New home sales by China’s 100 biggest developers dropped by 33% in July from a year ago, marking the steepest monthly decline since July 2022, according to industry statistics released last week.

Investors see the revival of the sector as crucial to the recovery of the economy after three years of self-imposed coronavirus pandemic isolation.

Recent signals from top policymakers suggest Beijing is getting increasingly worried about growth and have recognized the need to bolster the sector.

Last Monday, Premier Li Qiang pledged to “adjust and optimize” policies to ensure the healthy and stable development of the property market, urging cities to roll out measures that meet their own needs,

Last month, the People’s Bank of China said it would give developers another 12 months to repay their outstanding loans due this year.

China’s property crisis deepens as another huge developer risks default | CNN Business (2024)

FAQs

What is the cause of the real estate crisis in China? ›

Regulations. In 2021, other central and local government regulations, including mortgage lending limits, rent caps in big cities, and land auction cancellations, caused a slowdown in the property sector, as authorities attempted to control rising house prices.

Which property developers default in China? ›

China's biggest private property developer Country Garden is believed to have become the latest property giant to default on its overseas debt. The firm has $11bn (£9bn) in debt and another $6bn in onshore loans, and a default would mark one of the country's biggest corporate debt restructurings.

How bad is China's property crisis? ›

China's protracted property downturn is eroding the balance sheets of the nation's largest state banks as their bad loans creep up. Bank of Communications Co. reported Wednesday that its property bad loan ratio jumped to 4.99% at the end of last year from 2.8% a year earlier.

Is China's largest private developer Country Garden warns of default? ›

China's largest private developer has warned it could default on its international debts, dealing another blow to the country's embattled property industry. Country Garden has about $200bn (£163bn) in liabilities and nearly $11bn in dollar-denominated offshore bonds.

How many Chinese property developers have defaulted? ›

More than 50 developers—mostly privately owned—have defaulted on their debt. Developers still have millions of unfinished homes that were sold but not delivered.

What is the biggest real estate company in China collapse? ›

A Hong Kong court has ordered the liquidation of the Evergrande Group, China's giant and massively indebted real estate developer, after the company was unable to restructure the $300 billion it owed investors. Just six years ago, Evergrande was riding high, preselling apartments to middle- and upper-income Chinese.

How much debt is China in property developers? ›

Overall, outstanding property debt was estimated at 60 trillion yuan ($8.9 trillion), or nearly 50% of China's GDP in 2022, Swiss Re Institute, a private research company, said in a recent report.

Who is China's biggest property developer? ›

On the 2023 Fortune China 500 ranking for real estate companies, China's leading real estate developer Vanke ranked first with a total revenue of 503.84 billion yuan, followed by Greenland Holdings and Country Garden.

How much debt do Chinese real estate developers have? ›

China's real-estate sector was too reliant on debt, and now many public developers are in default. Two Chinese real-estate companies hold a combined debt of about $500 billion.

What is the problem with China's real estate market? ›

Real estate accounts for roughly one-quarter of China's economy. The property sector started to stall after Beijing, worried about a housing bubble and its impact on the financial system, rolled out a series of rules in 2020 aimed at curbing the excessive borrowing of real estate developers.

What's wrong with China's real estate market? ›

The yearslong property slowdown has dealt huge damage to the economy, reducing business for construction companies and other firms that thrived during the property boom, hitting confidence among nervous homeowners, and exacerbating the debt burden facing local governments which for years relied on land sales as their ...

What is the problem with the housing market in China? ›

Things to Know About China's Property Slump

In China's residential market specifically, new home sales dropped 6% in 2023, with secondhand home prices declining in major cities. And on the development side, new residential developments have fallen 58% from 1,515 million m² in 2019 to 637 million m² in 2023.

What caused Evergrande crisis? ›

The firm failed because of its aggressive lending, facilitated by the overuse of novel, risky, and opaque financial engineering products and excess risk-taking without sufficient risk management.

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